forecast reliability

This paper proposes the concept of forecast reliability,and new measurement for forecast reliability.

基于目前预测残差为正态白噪声的预设,提出了预测可靠性的概念,以及预测可靠性的度量方法,同时以需求预测中常见的ARIMA(p,1,q)过程MMSE(最小均方差)预测为背景,分析了可靠性与预测精度的关系,以及模型参数对可靠性的影响,初步讨论了可靠性在预测期决策方面的作用。

A modeling approach of nitrogen and phosphorus for predication of algae blooming biomass;

氮磷与“藻华”生物量预测的模型探讨

A new comprehensive factor predication model of algae biomass in local lake area;

局部湖区两种藻类藻生物量的综合因子预测模型

Predication of Combustible Coal's Firing Temperature Based on BP Neural Network Theory;

基于BP神经网络的燃煤着火温度的预测

A study of depositional microfacies and method of reservoir prediction by integrating well log and seismic information in dense well pattern——taking Xing 56 block,Xingshugang oil field,Daqing as an example;

密井网区井震结合进行沉积微相研究及储层预测方法探讨——以大庆杏树岗油田杏56区为例

Study on the prediction of woven filtration fabrics (tabby) boiling aperture;

平纹机织过滤布鼓泡孔径的预测研究

Prediction of Deep Thickness of Coal Seam in Moxinpo Based on Grey GM(1,1)Model;

基于灰色GM(1,1)模型的磨心坡深部煤层厚度预测

Application of the improved GM Model to oil production forecasting of Tarim Basin;

修正的GM模型在塔里木盆地石油产量预测中的应用

Hydrocarbon accumulating model and forecasting of favorable prospecting areas in buried hill of Budate Group,Beier Sag;

贝尔凹陷布达特群潜山油气成藏模式及有利区预测

Application of set-pair analysis method for forecasting coal-gas emerging;

集对分析法在煤与瓦斯突出综合预测中的应用

A Simple Prediction Model for Hydrate Formation Conditions;

简易水合物生成条件预测模型

Partially Linear Autoregression Prediction Model of Chinese Coal Production;

我国原煤产量的部分线性自回归预测模型

Application of Analogy Method in Predicting Municipal Solid Waste Output;

类比法在城市生活垃圾产生量预测中的应用